Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Elms Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23031034003 · York County, ME · pop 2,265 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 23031034003 in the Elms area of York County, ME reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,265. Cost burden runs 16% here against 39.3% across York County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,054
Renter share8.7%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$83,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across York County and the region
Centroid at 43.3387, -70.5766 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elms scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$876 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Elms compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 9.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elms
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $83,375, annual rent is just 13%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the York County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent runs $876 a month.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031034003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031034003?
Census tract 23031034003 in the Elms neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031034003?
Median gross rent is $876/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031034003?
6.9% of residents in tract 23031034003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,265.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031034003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 10th, minority 19th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 23031034003 considered part of Elms?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23031034003 fall within Elms (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23031034003 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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