Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Waterbury Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Jessup
Tract 24003740106 · Anne Arundel County, MD · pop 3,250 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 24003740106 covers the Waterbury Forest area of Jessup, home to 3,250 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 75% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,157 a month against an average household income of $127,500 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,302
Renter share42.9%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$127,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jessup and the region
Centroid at 39.1484, -76.7621 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterbury Forest scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jessup
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,157 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jessup
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jessup
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jessup
3.5
How Waterbury Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 9.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterbury Forest
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jessup, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Anne Arundel County average of 6.4 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24003740106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24003740106?
Census tract 24003740106 in the Waterbury Forest neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24003740106?
Median gross rent is $2,157/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24003740106?
5.8% of residents in tract 24003740106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,250.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24003740106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 2th, minority 73th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 24003740106 considered part of Waterbury Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24003740106 fall within Waterbury Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24003740106 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24003740106 compare to Jessup overall?
Tract 24003740106 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Jessup at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jessup; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jessup
Top eight tracts in Jessup ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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