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Neighborhood · Jessup, MD

Waterbury Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,250 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Waterbury Forest is a one-tract neighborhood of Jessup, MD and houses 3,250 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.5/10. 30% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Jessup rate of 24.7%. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.6/10.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,157, close to the Jessup average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $127,500. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 4.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Waterbury Forest vs Jessup How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.3% +23%
Jessup: 24.7%
Average gross rent
$2,157 -1%
Jessup: $2,187
Average HH income
$127,500 +4%
Jessup: $122,574
Poverty rate
5.8% -27%
Jessup: 8.0%
Renter share
42.9% -2%
Jessup: 43.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Waterbury Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Waterbury Forest scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
5.8% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Risk score comparison

Waterbury Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Waterbury Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8Waterbury ForestNeighborhood5.1Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Waterbury Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24003740106 4.8 3,250 30% $2,157
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 10

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Waterbury Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Waterbury Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Waterbury Forest?

Waterbury Forest scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Waterbury Forest compare to Jessup overall?

Waterbury Forest scores 0.3 points lower than Jessup overall (5.1/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,157 vs $2,187.
Q3

What is the average rent in Waterbury Forest?

Average gross rent in Waterbury Forest is $2,157/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Waterbury Forest residents are renters?

43% of Waterbury Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Jessup). The neighborhood has 3,250 residents.
Q5

Is Waterbury Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Waterbury Forest sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Waterbury Forest for landlords?

Waterbury Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jessup as a whole (5.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Waterbury Forest?

Waterbury Forest has 3,222 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (41.9%), Hispanic / Latino (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Waterbury Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jessup

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Waterbury Forest.

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