Neighborhood · Jessup, MD

Waterbury Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,250 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.5/10 · range 2.5–2.5

Waterbury Forest is a white-black neighborhood in Jessup with 1 census tract and a population of 3,250 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 30% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 2% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,157/month sits 1% lower than the Jessup citywide average ($2,187).

Risk score

2.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Waterbury Forest vs Jessup How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

30.3% +23%

Jessup: 24.7%

Average gross rent

$2,157 -1%

Jessup: $2,187

Average HH income

$127,500 +4%

Jessup: $122,574

Poverty rate

5.8% -27%

Jessup: 8.0%

Renter share

42.9% -2%

Jessup: 43.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Waterbury Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.5–2.5

Why Waterbury Forest scores 2.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

30% of income on rent · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Tenant organizing strength

43% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

5.8% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Risk score comparison

Waterbury Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Waterbury Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24003740106	2.5	3,250	30%	$2,157

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 10

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 2%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 58%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Waterbury Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.8%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility shutoff threat
13.5%Food insecurity
9.6%SNAP enrollment
7.6%No health insurance
23.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Waterbury Forest

What is the eviction-risk score for Waterbury Forest?

Waterbury Forest scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Waterbury Forest compare to Jessup overall?

Waterbury Forest scores 3.7 points lower than Jessup overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,157 vs $2,187.

What is the average rent in Waterbury Forest?

Average gross rent in Waterbury Forest is $2,157/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Waterbury Forest residents are renters?

43% of Waterbury Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Jessup). The neighborhood has 3,250 residents.

Is Waterbury Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Waterbury Forest sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Waterbury Forest for landlords?

Waterbury Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jessup as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Waterbury Forest?

Waterbury Forest has 3,222 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (41.9%), Hispanic / Latino (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Waterbury Forest

1.6 Willowbend 2 tracts · pop 14,783 2.6 Provinces 2 tracts · pop 12,273 3.9 Pines of Laurel 3 tracts · pop 18,345 1.5 Highmeadow Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,508 4 Rol Park Village 7 tracts · pop 16,801 3.8 Timberline 2 tracts · pop 6,745

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jessup

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Waterbury Forest.

3.4 Nordeau 1 tracts · pop 7,337

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