Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Catonsville

Tract 24005400500 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,795 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

24005400500 is a census tract in the Oak Forest area of Catonsville, MD. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,795. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%

Tract context

Occupied units1,000

Renter share2.7%

SVI overall0.08

Poverty rate2.5%

Median income$179,200

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Catonsville and the region

Centroid at 39.2544, -76.7517 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Forest scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Catonsville

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

2.5% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Catonsville

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Catonsville

6.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Catonsville

5.9

How Oak Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

2%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
13%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
13%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.9%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
5.9%Food insecurity
3.8%SNAP enrollment
3.8%Transit barriers
4.0%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
19.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Forest

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.9/10.

Against the Baltimore County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Against Baltimore County at 46.8%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened. Housing insecurity runs 5.9% against 14.2% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005400500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005400500?

Census tract 24005400500 in the Oak Forest neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005400500?

2.5% of residents in tract 24005400500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,795.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005400500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 17th, minority 13th, housing 35th.

Is tract 24005400500 considered part of Oak Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005400500 fall within Oak Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005400500 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005400500 compare to Catonsville overall?

Tract 24005400500 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Catonsville at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catonsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24005400500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Catonsville

Top eight tracts in Catonsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.