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Neighborhood · Catonsville, MD

Oak Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,795 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Oak Forest is a one-tract neighborhood of Catonsville, MD and houses 2,795 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. 41% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Catonsville rate of 32.7%.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. Disability prevalence reaches 19.4% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. 3.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Catonsville, it ranks #9 by risk, the lower third. At 3% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 4.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Oak Forest vs Catonsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.7% +24%
Catonsville: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$0 -100%
Catonsville: $1,724
Average HH income
$179,200 +63%
Catonsville: $110,051
Poverty rate
2.5% -64%
Catonsville: 6.9%
Renter share
2.7% -91%
Catonsville: 30.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Oak Forest scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
3% renter households · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
2.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Oak Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oak Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Oak ForestNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Oak Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24005400500 4.5 2,795 41% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 2%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 17%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 13%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oak Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Oak Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oak Forest?

Oak Forest scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oak Forest compare to Catonsville overall?

Oak Forest scores 1.4 points lower than Catonsville overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 33% citywide.
Q3

What percentage of Oak Forest residents are renters?

3% of Oak Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Catonsville). The neighborhood has 2,795 residents.
Q4

Is Oak Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Oak Forest sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q5

How safe is Oak Forest for landlords?

Oak Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Catonsville as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q6

What is the demographic breakdown of Oak Forest?

Oak Forest has 2,692 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (92.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.7%), Other / Multiracial (2.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oak Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Catonsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oak Forest.

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