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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Eccleston Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Garrison

Tract 24005403704 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 4,630 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24005403704 covers part of the Eccleston Valley area of Garrison, MD, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,630. about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Baltimore County average of 46.8%.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 8% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,926
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$142,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Eccleston Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Garrison
Very Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#159 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Low
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#893 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Garrison and the region

Centroid at 39.4186, -76.7419 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eccleston Valley scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Garrison
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,143 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garrison
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garrison
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garrison
5.0

How Eccleston Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eccleston Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 4037046.3Garrisonparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eccleston Valley

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Baltimore County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Average gross rent is $2,143, 10% above the Garrison average.

On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $142,917, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005403704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005403704?

Census tract 24005403704 in the Eccleston Valley neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005403704?

Median gross rent is $2,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005403704?

4.0% of residents in tract 24005403704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,630.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005403704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 94th, minority 65th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 24005403704 considered part of Eccleston Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005403704 fall within Eccleston Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005403704 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005403704 compare to Garrison overall?

Tract 24005403704 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Garrison at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garrison; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garrison

Top eight tracts in Garrison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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