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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Carney Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 24005411413 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,177 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up the Carney Grove neighborhood of Carney, census tract 24005411413 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. It lands near the 96th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,114 a month while the average household earns $77,125 a year, roughly 48% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 28% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,114
Renter share65.5%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$77,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Carney Grove
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Carney
Low
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#99 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Elevated
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#664 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carney and the region

Centroid at 39.3927, -76.5088 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carney Grove scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carney
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,114 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carney
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carney
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carney
5.8

How Carney Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carney Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 411413Carney: 6.16.1Carneyparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carney Grove

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carney eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 3.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005411413

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005411413?

Census tract 24005411413 in the Carney Grove neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005411413?

Median gross rent is $3,114/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005411413?

4.5% of residents in tract 24005411413 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,177.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005411413?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 22th, minority 10th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 24005411413 considered part of Carney Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005411413 fall within Carney Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005411413 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005411413 compare to Carney overall?

Tract 24005411413 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Carney at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carney eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carney

Top eight tracts in Carney ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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