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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Carney Grove Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 24005411413 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,177 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 6/10, tract 24005411413 in the Carney Grove area of Carney, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 28% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,114
Renter share65.5%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$77,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Carney Grove
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Carney
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#98 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Elevated
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#528 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carney and the region

Centroid at 39.3927, -76.5088 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carney Grove scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carney
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,114 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carney
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carney
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carney
5.8

How Carney Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carney Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 4114136.2Carneyparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carney Grove

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. At $3,114 a month, rents run 74% over what the rest of Carney commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 10/10. The voucher gap is 58.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $77,125, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 58% here against 46.8% across Baltimore County. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Disability prevalence runs 44.0% against 31.5% nationally. Food insecurity runs 6.0% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005411413

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005411413?

Census tract 24005411413 in the Carney Grove neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005411413?

Median gross rent is $3,114/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005411413?

4.5% of residents in tract 24005411413 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,177.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005411413?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 22th, minority 10th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 24005411413 considered part of Carney Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005411413 fall within Carney Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005411413 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005411413 compare to Carney overall?

Tract 24005411413 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Carney at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carney eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carney

Top eight tracts in Carney ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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