Carney Grove Eviction Risk: Elevated

Severe burden reaches 37%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $3,114 a month, rents sit 74% over what the rest of Carney commands. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 58.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.1/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. 2.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Food insecurity affects 6.0% of adults, 11.8 points below the national rate. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Carney, it ranks #6 by risk, the lower third.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.