Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Back River Highlands Eviction Risk: Elevated , Essex
Tract 24005450200 ·
Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,260 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 24005450200 covers part of the Back River Highlands area of Essex, MD, and scores 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Baltimore County at 46.8%, 16% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 14%Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,230
Renter share16.4%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$70,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Back River Highlands
Moderate
Within parent city
80th percentile
#3 of 11 tracts In Essex
High
Within county
85th percentile
#33 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
High
Within state
86th percentile
#201 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Essex and the region
Centroid at 39.3139, -76.4808 · click any tract to drill in
Why Back River Highlands scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Essex
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,066 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Essex
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Essex
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Essex
6.8
How Back River Highlands compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
54%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.3%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
12.5%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
29.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Back River Highlands
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Baltimore County average of 5.7.
Average gross rent is $1,066, 19% below the Essex average. Nationally it ranks #10,727 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $70,167.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005450200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005450200?
Census tract 24005450200 in the Back River Highlands neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005450200?
Median gross rent is $1,066/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005450200?
15.5% of residents in tract 24005450200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,260.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005450200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 73th, minority 23th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 24005450200 considered part of Back River Highlands?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005450200 fall within Back River Highlands (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005450200 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005450200 compare to Essex overall?
Tract 24005450200 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Essex at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Essex eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Essex
Top eight tracts in Essex ranked by composite eviction-risk score.