Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally
Hawthorne Eviction Risk: Elevated , Middle River
Tract 24005451500 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 4,429 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Here is how census tract 24005451500, in Hawthorne in Middle River eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 8.1/10 eviction-risk score (High tier) across a population of 4,429. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,855 monthly, set against $70,439 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,274
Renter share32.9%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate33.8%
Median income$70,439
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middle River and the region
Centroid at 39.3212, -76.4338 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hawthorne scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middle River
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
33.8% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,855 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middle River
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middle River
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middle River
8.0
How Hawthorne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.9%Housing insecurity
- 18.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.1%Food insecurity
- 33.9%SNAP enrollment
- 17.2%Transit barriers
- 15.4%No health insurance
- 23.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hawthorne
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middle River eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 26.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: Middle River eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005451500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005451500?
Census tract 24005451500 in the Hawthorne neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005451500?
Median gross rent is $1,855/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005451500?
33.8% of residents in tract 24005451500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,429.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005451500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 94th, minority 53th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 24005451500 considered part of Hawthorne?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005451500 fall within Hawthorne (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005451500 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005451500 compare to Middle River overall?
Tract 24005451500 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Middle River at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middle River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middle River
Top eight tracts in Middle River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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