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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Stansbury Forest Eviction Risk: Elevated , Middle River

Tract 24005451600 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 1,846 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 24005451600 covers part of the Stansbury Forest area of Middle River, MD, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Baltimore County average of 46.8%.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 12% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units842
Renter share32.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$70,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Stansbury Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Middle River
Low
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#62 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#374 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middle River and the region

Centroid at 39.3234, -76.4149 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stansbury Forest scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middle River
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,457 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middle River
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middle River
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middle River
8.0

How Stansbury Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stansbury Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 4516006.3Middle Riverparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stansbury Forest

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 0.9 points above the Baltimore County average of 5.7.

Average gross rent is $1,457, 11% below the Middle River average. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $70,750. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005451600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005451600?

Census tract 24005451600 in the Stansbury Forest neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005451600?

Median gross rent is $1,457/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005451600?

8.1% of residents in tract 24005451600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,846.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005451600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 55th, minority 34th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 24005451600 considered part of Stansbury Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005451600 fall within Stansbury Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005451600 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005451600 compare to Middle River overall?

Tract 24005451600 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Middle River at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middle River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middle River

Top eight tracts in Middle River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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