Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 24013506102 · Carroll County, MD · pop 4,654 · 39% of tract blocks fall in Manchester
24013506102 is a census tract in Manchester, MD. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,654 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,650
Renter share8.1%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$115,865
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manchester and the region
Centroid at 39.6271, -76.9220 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manchester
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,214 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
6.4
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.4%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Carroll County average of 40.1%. Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Carroll County average of 4.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
Average gross rent is $1,214, 11% below the Manchester average. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $115,865, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24013506102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24013506102?
Census tract 24013506102 in Manchester scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24013506102?
Median gross rent is $1,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24013506102?
3.6% of residents in tract 24013506102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,654.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24013506102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 12th, minority 7th, housing 11th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 24013506102 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 24013506102 compare to Manchester overall?
Tract 24013506102 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Manchester at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manchester
Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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