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Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Carrington Eviction Risk: Lower , Waldorf

Tract 24017851501 · Charles County, MD · pop 3,763 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 24017851501 (the Carrington area of Waldorf, Maryland) comes in at 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #16,384 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,919 monthly, set against $113,133 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 24% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,710
Renter share38.0%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$113,133

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Carrington
Very Low
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 14 tracts In Waldorf
Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#21 of 35 tracts In Charles County
Moderate
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#1,110 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Waldorf and the region

Centroid at 38.6118, -76.9375 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrington scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Waldorf
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,919 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waldorf
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waldorf
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waldorf
4.9

How Carrington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carrington risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 851501Waldorf: 6.26.2Waldorfparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carrington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carrington

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 5.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waldorf eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Charles County average of 6.1 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24017851501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24017851501?

Census tract 24017851501 in the Carrington neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24017851501?

Median gross rent is $1,919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24017851501?

3.7% of residents in tract 24017851501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,763.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24017851501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 18th, minority 83th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 24017851501 considered part of Carrington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24017851501 fall within Carrington (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24017851501 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24017851501 compare to Waldorf overall?

Tract 24017851501 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Waldorf at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waldorf eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Waldorf

Top eight tracts in Waldorf ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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