Neighborhood · Waldorf, MD

Carrington Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 20,280 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.7/10 · range 1.8–3.8

Carrington is a black-white neighborhood in Waldorf with 4 census tracts and a population of 20,280 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 35% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,855/month sits 7% lower than the Waldorf citywide average ($1,995).

Risk score

2.7

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Carrington vs Waldorf How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

35.0% +20%

Waldorf: 29.1%

Average gross rent

$1,855 -7%

Waldorf: $1,995

Average HH income

$95,332 -17%

Waldorf: $115,453

Poverty rate

11.1% +59%

Waldorf: 7.0%

Renter share

37.7% +50%

Waldorf: 25.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carrington and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 1.8–3.8

Why Carrington scores 2.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Rent control risk

35% of income on rent · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Tenant organizing strength

38% renter households · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts

4.9

Economic stress

11.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.7 across tracts

2.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–4.7 across tracts

3.0

Risk score comparison

Carrington vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Carrington?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2 points from 1.8 to 3.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

3.8 3.0 2.0 1.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Carrington

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24017850901	3.8	5,781	54%	$1,505
24017850906	3	5,129	51%	$1,766
24017850902	2	5,607	0%	$2,254
24017851501	1.8	3,763	36%	$1,919

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 59%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 47%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carrington

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

18.4%Housing insecurity
12.2%Utility shutoff threat
20.8%Food insecurity
16.9%SNAP enrollment
9.0%No health insurance
28.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Carrington

What is the eviction-risk score for Carrington?

Carrington scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Carrington compare to Waldorf overall?

Carrington scores 3.5 points lower than Waldorf overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,855 vs $1,995.

What is the average rent in Carrington?

Average gross rent in Carrington is $1,855/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Carrington residents are renters?

38% of Carrington households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in Waldorf). The neighborhood has 20,280 residents.

Is Carrington a high social-vulnerability area?

Carrington sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Carrington have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carrington is census tract 24017850901 (score 3.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.8 to 3.8, a spread of 2 points.

How safe is Carrington for landlords?

Carrington carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Waldorf as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Carrington?

Carrington has 21,020 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (56.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.4%), Hispanic / Latino (13.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carrington

1.6 Springhaven 2 tracts · pop 11,485

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Waldorf

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carrington.

2.4 Billingsley Park 1 tracts · pop 6,370 2.3 Bellewood 1 tracts · pop 6,028 2.1 Holly Station 1 tracts · pop 7,090 2.1 Ballentrae 1 tracts · pop 5,253 2.1 Pinefield 1 tracts · pop 4,742 1.8 Forest Park 1 tracts · pop 3,615

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