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Neighborhood · Waldorf, MD

Carrington Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 20,280 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 4.4–6

Carrington spans 4 census tracts of Waldorf, MD, population 20,280. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.3/10, Moderate tier. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.4 to 6, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 35% against 29.1% citywide, putting Carrington 5.9% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2.8/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 3/10.

At $1,855 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Waldorf commands. That places it #2 of 8 neighborhoods in Waldorf. For a like-for-like read, Bellewood and Billingsley Park score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $95,332. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Carrington vs Waldorf How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.0% +20%
Waldorf: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$1,855 -7%
Waldorf: $1,995
Average HH income
$95,332 -17%
Waldorf: $115,453
Poverty rate
11.1% +59%
Waldorf: 7.0%
Renter share
37.7% +50%
Waldorf: 25.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carrington and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.4–6

Why Carrington scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
11.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.7 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–4.7 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Carrington vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carrington score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3CarringtonNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Carrington?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 4.4 to 6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Carrington

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24017850901 6 5,781 54% $1,505
24017850906 6 5,129 51% $1,766
24017850902 4.6 5,607 0% $2,254
24017851501 4.4 3,763 36% $1,919
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 59%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carrington

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carrington

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carrington?

Carrington scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carrington compare to Waldorf overall?

Carrington scores 0.7 points higher than Waldorf overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,855 vs $1,995.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carrington?

Average gross rent in Carrington is $1,855/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carrington residents are renters?

38% of Carrington households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in Waldorf). The neighborhood has 20,280 residents.
Q5

Is Carrington a high social-vulnerability area?

Carrington sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carrington have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carrington is census tract 24017850901 (score 6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 6, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Carrington for landlords?

Carrington carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Waldorf as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carrington?

Carrington has 21,020 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (56.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.4%), Hispanic / Latino (13.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carrington

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Waldorf

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carrington.

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