Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Worman's Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Frederick
Tract 24021750802 ·
Frederick County, MD · pop 6,270 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
24021750802 is a census tract in the Worman's Mill area of Frederick, MD. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%Stable renters 14%Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,768
Renter share19.7%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$123,929
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Worman's Mill
Moderate
Within parent city
24th percentile
#17 of 22 tracts In Frederick
Low
Within county
56th percentile
#29 of 65 tracts In Frederick County
Elevated
Within state
26th percentile
#1,087 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Frederick and the region
Centroid at 39.4557, -77.3880 · click any tract to drill in
Why Worman's Mill scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Frederick
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,185 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Frederick
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Frederick
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Frederick
4.5
How Worman's Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
22%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.2%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
7.0%Food insecurity
4.9%SNAP enrollment
4.4%Transit barriers
5.4%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
21.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Worman's Mill
27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10.
Cost burden runs 30% here against 39.1% across Frederick County. Average gross rent is $2,185, 24% above the Frederick average.
Food insecurity runs 7.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.9% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Frederick County average of 4.3 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24021750802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021750802?
Census tract 24021750802 in the Worman's Mill neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24021750802?
Median gross rent is $2,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24021750802?
4.4% of residents in tract 24021750802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,270.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24021750802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 43th, minority 49th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 24021750802 considered part of Worman's Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24021750802 fall within Worman's Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24021750802 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24021750802 compare to Frederick overall?
Tract 24021750802 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Frederick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Frederick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Frederick
Top eight tracts in Frederick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.