Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Ballenger Run Eviction Risk: Elevated , Ballenger Creek
Tract 24021751001 · Frederick County, MD · pop 1,852 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 24021751001 sits in the Ballenger Run area of Ballenger Creek eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7/10. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Frederick County average of 39.1%.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units734
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$101,300
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ballenger Creek and the region
Centroid at 39.3798, -77.4408 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ballenger Run scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ballenger Creek
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,712 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ballenger Creek
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ballenger Creek
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ballenger Creek
6.5
How Ballenger Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 22.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ballenger Run
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Against the Frederick County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.7 points.
27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10.
At $1,712 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Ballenger Creek commands. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $101,300.
29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24021751001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021751001?
Census tract 24021751001 in the Ballenger Run neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24021751001?
Median gross rent is $1,712/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24021751001?
15.4% of residents in tract 24021751001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,852.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24021751001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 37th, minority 71th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 24021751001 considered part of Ballenger Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24021751001 fall within Ballenger Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24021751001 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24021751001 compare to Ballenger Creek overall?
Tract 24021751001 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Ballenger Creek at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ballenger Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ballenger Creek
Top eight tracts in Ballenger Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related