Gambrill South Eviction Risk: Lower , Middletown

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 49% here against 39.1% across Frederick County. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Frederick County average of 4.3.

Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally. At $1,620 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Middletown commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $151,641, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.