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Neighborhood · Middletown, MD

Gambrill South Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,400 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Gambrill South is a one-tract neighborhood of Middletown, MD and houses 4,400 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 19.7% citywide, putting Gambrill South 29.2% over its own city.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,620, 11% below the Middletown average of $1,813. 5.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gambrill South vs Middletown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.9% +148%
Middletown: 19.7%
Average gross rent
$1,620 -11%
Middletown: $1,813
Average HH income
$151,641 -5%
Middletown: $159,342
Poverty rate
1.4% -8%
Middletown: 1.5%
Renter share
18.0% -1%
Middletown: 18.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gambrill South and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Gambrill South scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Gambrill South vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gambrill South score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Gambrill South: 3.33.3Gambrill SouthNeighborhoodParent city: 4.24.2Parent cityhost cityState: 5.55.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Gambrill South

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24021752601 3.3 4,400 49% $1,620
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 4

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 14%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 33%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 11%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gambrill South

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gambrill South

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gambrill South?

Gambrill South scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gambrill South compare to Middletown overall?

Gambrill South scores 0.9 points lower than Middletown overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 20% citywide. Average rent: $1,620 vs $1,813.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gambrill South?

Average gross rent in Gambrill South is $1,620/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gambrill South residents are renters?

18% of Gambrill South households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Middletown). The neighborhood has 4,400 residents.
Q5

Is Gambrill South a high social-vulnerability area?

Gambrill South sits in the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Gambrill South for landlords?

Gambrill South carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Middletown as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Gambrill South?

Gambrill South has 4,526 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.6%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gambrill South

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