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Neighborhood · Middletown, MD

Gambrill South Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,400 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Gambrill South is a one-tract neighborhood of Middletown, MD and houses 4,400 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 19.7% citywide, putting Gambrill South 29.2% over its own city.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,620, 11% below the Middletown average of $1,813. 5.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gambrill South vs Middletown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.9% +148%
Middletown: 19.7%
Average gross rent
$1,620 -11%
Middletown: $1,813
Average HH income
$151,641 -5%
Middletown: $159,342
Poverty rate
1.4% -8%
Middletown: 1.5%
Renter share
18.0% -1%
Middletown: 18.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gambrill South and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Gambrill South scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Gambrill South vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gambrill South score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3Gambrill SouthNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Gambrill South

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
24021752601 3.3 4,400 49% $1,620
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 4

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 14%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 33%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 11%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gambrill South

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gambrill South

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gambrill South?

Gambrill South scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gambrill South compare to Middletown overall?

Gambrill South scores 0.9 points lower than Middletown overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 20% citywide. Average rent: $1,620 vs $1,813.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gambrill South?

Average gross rent in Gambrill South is $1,620/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gambrill South residents are renters?

18% of Gambrill South households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Middletown). The neighborhood has 4,400 residents.
Q5

Is Gambrill South a high social-vulnerability area?

Gambrill South sits in the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Gambrill South for landlords?

Gambrill South carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Middletown as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Gambrill South?

Gambrill South has 4,526 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.6%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gambrill South

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