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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Keywaydin Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ellicott City

Tract 24027602306 · Howard County, MD · pop 5,741 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 24027602306 covers part of the Keywaydin area of Ellicott City, MD, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,741 residents. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 8% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,353
Renter share22.5%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$142,926

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Keywaydin
Moderate
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 14 tracts In Ellicott City
Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 59 tracts In Howard County
Very Low
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#1,115 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ellicott City and the region

Centroid at 39.2621, -76.8314 · click any tract to drill in

Why Keywaydin scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ellicott City
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,259 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ellicott City
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ellicott City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ellicott City
4.4

How Keywaydin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Keywaydin risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 6023064.6Ellicott Cityparent city5.3Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Keywaydin

Cost burden runs 63% here against 45.4% across Howard County. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Disability prevalence runs 18.7% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.3 points below the Howard County average of 5.3. Food insecurity runs 6.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The voucher gap is 15.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,259 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Ellicott City commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $142,926.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24027602306

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24027602306?

Census tract 24027602306 in the Keywaydin neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24027602306?

Median gross rent is $2,259/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24027602306?

2.4% of residents in tract 24027602306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,741.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24027602306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 30th, minority 65th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 24027602306 considered part of Keywaydin?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24027602306 fall within Keywaydin (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24027602306 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24027602306 compare to Ellicott City overall?

Tract 24027602306 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Ellicott City at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ellicott City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ellicott City

Top eight tracts in Ellicott City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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