Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Watkins Overlook Eviction Risk: Lower , Damascus
Tract 24031700209 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,777 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 24031700209 sits in the Watkins Overlook area of Damascus, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. Population here is 4,777. 82% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Montgomery County average of 46.7%.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,598
Renter share5.6%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$188,305
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Damascus and the region
Centroid at 39.2334, -77.2213 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watkins Overlook scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Damascus
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,078 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Damascus
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Damascus
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Damascus
4.3
How Watkins Overlook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 21.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watkins Overlook
At $3,078 a month, rents run 72% over what the rest of Damascus commands. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.4 points.
Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The voucher gap is 33.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700209
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700209?
Census tract 24031700209 in the Watkins Overlook neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700209?
Median gross rent is $3,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700209?
1.4% of residents in tract 24031700209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,777.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700209?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 4th, minority 44th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700209 considered part of Watkins Overlook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700209 fall within Watkins Overlook (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700209 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700209 compare to Damascus overall?
Tract 24031700209 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Damascus at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Damascus; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Damascus
Top eight tracts in Damascus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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