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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Quince Orchard Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Gaithersburg

Tract 24031700610 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 1,942 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in Quince Orchard Valley in Gaithersburg centers on tract 24031700610, which scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 1,942 residents. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,308 monthly, set against $159,188 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 3% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units725
Renter share3.0%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$159,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Quince Orchard Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 23 tracts In Gaithersburg
Very Low
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#112 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#845 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gaithersburg and the region

Centroid at 39.1388, -77.2521 · click any tract to drill in

Why Quince Orchard Valley scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gaithersburg
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,308 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gaithersburg
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gaithersburg
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gaithersburg
5.9

How Quince Orchard Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Quince Orchard Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 700610Gaithersburg: 6.36.3Gaithersburgparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Quince Orchard Valley

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gaithersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031700610

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700610?

Census tract 24031700610 in the Quince Orchard Valley neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031700610?

Median gross rent is $2,308/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700610?

2.3% of residents in tract 24031700610 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,942.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700610?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 72th, minority 54th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 24031700610 considered part of Quince Orchard Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700610 fall within Quince Orchard Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031700610 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031700610 compare to Gaithersburg overall?

Tract 24031700610 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Gaithersburg at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gaithersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gaithersburg

Top eight tracts in Gaithersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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