Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
The Colony Eviction Risk: Moderate , Germantown
Tract 24031700818 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 6,282 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 24031700818 runs through the The Colony neighborhood of Germantown. With 6,282 residents, it scores 6.9/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,776 a month against an average household income of $79,668 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 46%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,463
Renter share75.3%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$79,668
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.1799, -77.2556 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Colony scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,776 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5
How The Colony compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.7%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.1%Food insecurity
- 21.5%SNAP enrollment
- 12.6%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Colony
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Germantown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 22.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700818
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700818?
Census tract 24031700818 in the The Colony neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700818?
Median gross rent is $1,776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700818?
18.6% of residents in tract 24031700818 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,282.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700818?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 58th, minority 87th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700818 considered part of The Colony?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700818 fall within The Colony (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700818 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700818 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 24031700818 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Brandermill
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Kings Square
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
North Germantown
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Germantown Park
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Brandermill
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
North Germantown
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Williamsburg Square
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Seneca Park
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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