Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Mission Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gaithersburg

Tract 24031700836 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 1,511 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

24031700836 is a census tract in the Mission Hills area of Gaithersburg, MD. It scores 7.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,511. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Montgomery County average of 46.7%.

Risk score

7.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 39% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units615

Renter share50.6%

SVI overall0.20

Poverty rate2.7%

Median income$89,196

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gaithersburg and the region

Centroid at 39.1044, -77.2146 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mission Hills scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Gaithersburg

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

2.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,968 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Gaithersburg

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Gaithersburg

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Gaithersburg

5.9

How Mission Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

11%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.0%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
8.2%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
5.8%No health insurance
11.3%Frequent mental distress
16.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mission Hills

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Disability prevalence runs 16.7% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031700836

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700836?

Census tract 24031700836 in the Mission Hills neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031700836?

Median gross rent is $1,968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700836?

2.7% of residents in tract 24031700836 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,511.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700836?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 68th, minority 77th, housing 9th.

Is tract 24031700836 considered part of Mission Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700836 fall within Mission Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031700836 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031700836 compare to Gaithersburg overall?

Tract 24031700836 scores 7.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Gaithersburg at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gaithersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gaithersburg

Top eight tracts in Gaithersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.