Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Rio Eviction Risk: Lower , Gaithersburg
Tract 24031700839 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,124 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 6.8/10 for census tract 24031700839 reflects conditions in the Rio neighborhood of Gaithersburg, Maryland. On the national scale it ranks #6,795 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,305 a month against an average household income of $99,602 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,535
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$99,602
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gaithersburg and the region
Centroid at 39.1152, -77.1999 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rio scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gaithersburg
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,305 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gaithersburg
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gaithersburg
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gaithersburg
5.9
How Rio compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 4.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 11.9%Frequent mental distress
- 16.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rio
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gaithersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700839
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700839?
Census tract 24031700839 in the Rio neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700839?
Median gross rent is $2,305/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700839?
7.9% of residents in tract 24031700839 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,124.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700839?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 7th, minority 67th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700839 considered part of Rio?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700839 fall within Rio (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700839 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700839 compare to Gaithersburg overall?
Tract 24031700839 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Gaithersburg at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gaithersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gaithersburg
Top eight tracts in Gaithersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Rosemont
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Metropolitan Grove
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Oakmont Manor
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Orchard Place
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Oakmont Manor
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Walnut Hill
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Pleasant Run
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Rosemont
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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