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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Potomac Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockville

Tract 24031701002 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,907 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24031701002 covers part of the Potomac Springs area of Rockville, MD, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,907 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 20% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,588
Renter share31.7%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$226,528

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Potomac Springs
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 15 tracts In Rockville
Very Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#132 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#622 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockville and the region

Centroid at 39.0631, -77.1662 · click any tract to drill in

Why Potomac Springs scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,039 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockville
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockville
6.0

How Potomac Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Potomac Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 7010026.6Rockvilleparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Potomac Springs

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $3,039, 34% above the Rockville average. The voucher gap is 31.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Montgomery County average of 46.7%.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $226,528, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031701002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701002?

Census tract 24031701002 in the Potomac Springs neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031701002?

Median gross rent is $3,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701002?

2.4% of residents in tract 24031701002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,907.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 41th, minority 47th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 24031701002 considered part of Potomac Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701002 fall within Potomac Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031701002 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031701002 compare to Rockville overall?

Tract 24031701002 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Rockville at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockville

Top eight tracts in Rockville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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