Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Willows of Potomac Eviction Risk: Elevated , North Potomac
Tract 24031701221 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,604 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 24031701221 covers part of the Willows of Potomac area of North Potomac, MD, and scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,604. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,700
Renter share47.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate14.3%
Median income$182,458
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across North Potomac and the region
Centroid at 39.0876, -77.2038 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willows of Potomac scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North Potomac
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
14.3% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,304 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from North Potomac
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North Potomac
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from North Potomac
4.8
How Willows of Potomac compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 11.0%Frequent mental distress
- 20.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willows of Potomac
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8/10. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Montgomery County average of 46.7%.
SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $182,458, annual rent is just 15%. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,304, close to the North Potomac average. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701221
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701221?
Census tract 24031701221 in the Willows of Potomac neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701221?
Median gross rent is $2,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701221?
14.3% of residents in tract 24031701221 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,604.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701221?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 58th, minority 78th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701221 considered part of Willows of Potomac?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701221 fall within Willows of Potomac (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701221 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701221 compare to North Potomac overall?
Tract 24031701221 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of North Potomac at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North Potomac eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in North Potomac
Top eight tracts in North Potomac ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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