Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Northwood Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Four Corners
Tract 24031703100 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,497 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 24031703100 covers part of the Northwood Park area of Kemp Mill, MD, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,497 residents. 67% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 4%Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,586
Renter share15.3%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$172,105
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Northwood Park
Very High
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Four Corners
Very High
Within county
42th percentile
#136 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Moderate
Within state
58th percentile
#622 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Four Corners and the region
Centroid at 39.0264, -77.0220 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northwood Park scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Four Corners
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,149 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Four Corners
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Four Corners
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Four Corners
4.9
How Northwood Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
27%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northwood Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.8%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
11.4%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northwood Park
76% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Montgomery County average of 46.7%. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 8/10. On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.2/10.
Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $172,105, an unusually wide affordability cushion. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely. Average gross rent is $2,149, close to the Kemp Mill average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703100?
Census tract 24031703100 in the Northwood Park neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703100?
Median gross rent is $2,149/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703100?
10.1% of residents in tract 24031703100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,497.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 57th, minority 69th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703100 considered part of Northwood Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703100 fall within Northwood Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703100 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703100 compare to Four Corners overall?
Tract 24031703100 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Four Corners at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Four Corners; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Four Corners
Top eight tracts in Four Corners ranked by composite eviction-risk score.