Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Springbrook Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Kemp Mill
Tract 24031703208 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,332 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
24031703208 is a census tract in the Springbrook Forest area of Kemp Mill, MD. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,332. 11% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Montgomery County average of 46.7%.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,553
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$204,934
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kemp Mill and the region
Centroid at 39.0527, -77.0142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Springbrook Forest scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kemp Mill
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,662 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kemp Mill
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kemp Mill
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kemp Mill
4.9
How Springbrook Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 11.7%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Springbrook Forest
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10. At $2,662 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Kemp Mill commands. SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $204,934, annual rent is just 16%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703208?
Census tract 24031703208 in the Springbrook Forest neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703208?
Median gross rent is $2,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703208?
5.3% of residents in tract 24031703208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,332.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 64th, minority 46th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703208 considered part of Springbrook Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703208 fall within Springbrook Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703208 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703208 compare to Kemp Mill overall?
Tract 24031703208 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Kemp Mill at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kemp Mill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kemp Mill
Top eight tracts in Kemp Mill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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