Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Chestnut Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Forest Glen
Tract 24031703901 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,410 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
24031703901 is a census tract in the Chestnut Hills area of Forest Glen, MD. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,410. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,096
Renter share10.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$180,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forest Glen and the region
Centroid at 39.0203, -77.0363 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut Hills scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forest Glen
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,969 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Glen
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Glen
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Glen
4.5
How Chestnut Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 11.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Hills
63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Montgomery County average of 46.7%. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10. At $1,969 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Forest Glen commands. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $180,417, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703901?
Census tract 24031703901 in the Chestnut Hills neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703901?
Median gross rent is $1,969/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703901?
4.7% of residents in tract 24031703901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,410.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 26th, minority 62th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703901 considered part of Chestnut Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703901 fall within Chestnut Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703901 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703901 compare to Forest Glen overall?
Tract 24031703901 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Forest Glen at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Glen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forest Glen
Top eight tracts in Forest Glen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related