Lone Oak Eviction Risk: Moderate , North Bethesda
Tract 24031704401 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,384 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
24031704401 is a census tract in the Lone Oak area of North Bethesda, MD. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,384 residents. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across North Bethesda and the region
Centroid at 39.0219, -77.1147 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lone Oak scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Lone Oak compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.4%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 9.8%Frequent mental distress
- 17.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Lone Oak
At $3,273 a month, rents run 49% over what the rest of North Bethesda commands. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. The voucher gap is 41.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 9.1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.
It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 24031704401
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031704401?
What is the average rent in tract 24031704401?
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031704401?
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031704401?
Is tract 24031704401 considered part of Lone Oak?
What share of households in tract 24031704401 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 24031704401 compare to North Bethesda overall?
Highest-risk tracts in North Bethesda
Top eight tracts in North Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.