Skip to content
Neighborhood · North Bethesda, MD

Lone Oak Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,384 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.7–5.7

Lone Oak is a one-tract neighborhood of North Bethesda, MD and houses 3,384 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. 47% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the North Bethesda rate of 27.4%.

At $3,273 a month, rents sit 49% over what the rest of North Bethesda commands. 37% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The voucher gap is 41.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Running hot is supply constraint at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10.

SNAP participation is 3.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 4.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of North Bethesda, it ranks #9 by risk, the lower third. At 9% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Stratton Woods and Windermere score within a fraction of it.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lone Oak vs North Bethesda How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.9% +71%
North Bethesda: 27.4%
Average gross rent
$3,273 +49%
North Bethesda: $2,191
Average HH income
$250,001 +94%
North Bethesda: $128,970
Poverty rate
3.3% -42%
North Bethesda: 5.7%
Renter share
8.6% -83%
North Bethesda: 49.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lone Oak and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.7–5.7

Why Lone Oak scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
9% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Economic stress
3.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Risk score comparison

Lone Oak vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lone Oak score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7Lone OakNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lone Oak

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031704401 5.7 3,384 47% $3,273
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 10

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 2%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 16%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lone Oak

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lone Oak

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lone Oak?

Lone Oak scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lone Oak compare to North Bethesda overall?

Lone Oak scores 0.9 points lower than North Bethesda overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $3,273 vs $2,191.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lone Oak?

Average gross rent in Lone Oak is $3,273/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lone Oak residents are renters?

9% of Lone Oak households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in North Bethesda). The neighborhood has 3,384 residents.
Q5

Is Lone Oak a high social-vulnerability area?

Lone Oak sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lone Oak for landlords?

Lone Oak carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to North Bethesda as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lone Oak?

Lone Oak has 3,476 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.4%), Other / Multiracial (9.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lone Oak

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside North Bethesda

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lone Oak.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further