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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Mistletoe Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Laurel

Tract 24033800209 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 4,000 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 7.5/10, tract 24033800209 in the Mistletoe Springs area of South Laurel ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,000 residents. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,739 a month while the average household earns $59,303 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 86% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 38% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,669
Renter share85.9%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$59,303

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mistletoe Springs
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In South Laurel
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 214 tracts In Prince George's County
High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#239 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Laurel and the region

Centroid at 39.0865, -76.8499 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mistletoe Springs scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Laurel
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,739 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Laurel
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Laurel
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Laurel
6.6

How Mistletoe Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mistletoe Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 800209South Laurel: 6.46.4South Laurelparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10,611Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 199.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 220.5%Peak (2014)
  • 2,433Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 240338002092011: 2,496 filings (187.39/100 renter HHs)2012: 2,745 filings (206.08/100 renter HHs)2014: 2,937 filings (220.50/100 renter HHs)2016: 2,433 filings (183.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mistletoe Springs

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South Laurel eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24033800209

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033800209?

Census tract 24033800209 in the Mistletoe Springs neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24033800209?

Median gross rent is $1,739/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24033800209?

16.1% of residents in tract 24033800209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,000.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24033800209?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 84th, minority 92th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 24033800209 considered part of Mistletoe Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033800209 fall within Mistletoe Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033800209?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10,611 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033800209 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 199.26% of renter households, peaking at 220.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 24033800209 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 24033800209 compare to South Laurel overall?

Tract 24033800209 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of South Laurel at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Laurel eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Laurel

Top eight tracts in South Laurel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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