Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
North Potomac Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Forest Heights
Tract 24033801404 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 5,826 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
For landlords sizing up the North Potomac Vista area of Forest Heights, census tract 24033801404 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,334 monthly, set against $118,375 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,804
Renter share40.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$118,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forest Heights and the region
Centroid at 38.7909, -77.0223 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Potomac Vista scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forest Heights
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,334 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Heights
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Heights
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Heights
3.7
How North Potomac Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 106Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2016)
- 74Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 825% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Potomac Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 11.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Potomac Vista
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forest Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033801404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033801404?
Census tract 24033801404 in the North Potomac Vista neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033801404?
Median gross rent is $2,334/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033801404?
6.5% of residents in tract 24033801404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,826.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033801404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 14th, minority 87th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 24033801404 considered part of North Potomac Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033801404 fall within North Potomac Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033801404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033801404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.84% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033801404 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033801404 compare to Forest Heights overall?
Tract 24033801404 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Forest Heights at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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