Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Phelps Eviction Risk: Moderate , Forestville
Tract 24033802203 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 4,309 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Eviction risk in the Phelps neighborhood of Forestville centers on tract 24033802203, which scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,309 residents. That is riskier than roughly 99% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,839 a month while the average household earns $70,553 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,719
Renter share34.7%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$70,553
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestville and the region
Centroid at 38.8521, -76.8703 · click any tract to drill in
Why Phelps scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forestville
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,839 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestville
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestville
6.6
How Phelps compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,057Total filings over 4 yrs
- 145.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 168.1%Peak (2016)
- 1,081Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.0%Housing insecurity
- 14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.4%Food insecurity
- 20.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Phelps
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forestville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 23.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033802203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033802203?
Census tract 24033802203 in the Phelps neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033802203?
Median gross rent is $1,839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033802203?
13.4% of residents in tract 24033802203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,309.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033802203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 95th, minority 98th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 24033802203 considered part of Phelps?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033802203 fall within Phelps (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033802203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,057 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033802203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 145.81% of renter households, peaking at 168.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033802203 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033802203 compare to Forestville overall?
Tract 24033802203 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Forestville at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forestville
Top eight tracts in Forestville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related