Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Phelps Eviction Risk: Moderate , Forestville
Tract 24033802203 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 4,309 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
24033802203 is a census tract in the Phelps area of Forestville, MD. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,309. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,719
Renter share34.7%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$70,553
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestville and the region
Centroid at 38.8521, -76.8703 · click any tract to drill in
Why Phelps scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forestville
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,839 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestville
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestville
6.6
How Phelps compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,057Total filings over 4 yrs
- 145.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 168.1%Peak (2016)
- 1,081Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.0%Housing insecurity
- 14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.4%Food insecurity
- 20.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Phelps
30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, local political climate reads 9.1/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 9/10. Against Prince George's County at 45.6%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Housing insecurity runs 23.0% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 26.4% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,057 filings here across 4 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 168.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 145.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033802203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033802203?
Census tract 24033802203 in the Phelps neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033802203?
Median gross rent is $1,839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033802203?
13.4% of residents in tract 24033802203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,309.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033802203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 95th, minority 98th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 24033802203 considered part of Phelps?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033802203 fall within Phelps (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033802203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,057 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033802203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 145.81% of renter households, peaking at 168.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033802203 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033802203 compare to Forestville overall?
Tract 24033802203 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Forestville at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forestville
Top eight tracts in Forestville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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