Neighborhood · Forestville, MD

Phelps Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,309 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Phelps is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Forestville with 1 census tract and a population of 4,309 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,839/month sits 7% higher than the Forestville citywide average ($1,719).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Phelps vs Forestville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

52.3% +59%

Forestville: 32.8%

Average gross rent

$1,839 +7%

Forestville: $1,719

Average HH income

$70,553 -12%

Forestville: $80,028

Poverty rate

13.4% +31%

Forestville: 10.2%

Renter share

34.7% -2%

Forestville: 35.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Phelps and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Phelps scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts

9.1

Rent control risk

52% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Tenant organizing strength

35% renter households · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Economic stress

13.4% below poverty line · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Risk score comparison

Phelps vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Phelps

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24033802203	4.5	4,309	52%	$1,839

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 95%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 78%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Phelps

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

3,057Total filings (sum)
145.81%Avg annual filing rate
168.1%Peak year (2016)
168.12%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Phelps

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

23.0%Housing insecurity
14.2%Utility shutoff threat
26.4%Food insecurity
20.1%SNAP enrollment
12.7%No health insurance
30.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Phelps

What is the eviction-risk score for Phelps?

Phelps scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Phelps compare to Forestville overall?

Phelps scores 2.0 points lower than Forestville overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,839 vs $1,719.

What is the average rent in Phelps?

Average gross rent in Phelps is $1,839/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Phelps residents are renters?

35% of Phelps households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Forestville). The neighborhood has 4,309 residents.

Is Phelps a high social-vulnerability area?

Phelps sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Phelps for landlords?

Phelps carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Forestville as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Phelps?

Phelps has 4,462 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (85.2%), Hispanic / Latino (9.1%), Other / Multiracial (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Phelps

4.5 Berkshire 3 tracts · pop 10,666 5.1 Forest Manor 3 tracts · pop 9,301 3.4 Randolph Village 2 tracts · pop 11,212 4.7 Parkland 2 tracts · pop 8,161 3.8 Yorkshire Knolls 3 tracts · pop 16,186 3.5 Greater Capitol Heights 2 tracts · pop 8,244

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Forestville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Phelps.

5.4 Forest Manor 3 tracts · pop 9,301 3.5 Randolph Village 2 tracts · pop 11,212

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