1 census tracts · pop 4,309 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10
· range 5.3–5.3
Phelps is a one-tract neighborhood of Forestville, MD and houses 4,309 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. 52% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Forestville rate of 32.8%.
Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.4/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 3,057 eviction filings.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 168.1% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 26.4% of adults, 8.6 points above the national rate.
Average gross rent is $1,839, 7% above the Forestville average of $1,719. Judgments average 4.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $70,553.
One tract means one number: 5.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Phelps vs ForestvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Phelps
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
3,057Total filings (sum)
145.81%Avg annual filing rate
168.1%Peak year (2016)
168.12%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Phelps
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
23.0%Housing insecurity
14.2%Utility shutoff threat
26.4%Food insecurity
20.1%SNAP enrollment
12.7%No health insurance
30.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Phelps
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Phelps?
Phelps scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Phelps compare to Forestville overall?
Phelps scores 1.1 points higher than Forestville overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,839 vs $1,719.
Q3
What is the average rent in Phelps?
Average gross rent in Phelps is $1,839/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Phelps residents are renters?
35% of Phelps households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Forestville). The neighborhood has 4,309 residents.
Q5
Is Phelps a high social-vulnerability area?
Phelps sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Phelps for landlords?
Phelps carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Forestville as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Phelps?
Phelps has 4,462 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (85.2%), Hispanic / Latino (9.1%), Other / Multiracial (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
