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Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Holmehurst Eviction Risk: Lower , Fairwood

Tract 24033803516 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 4,886 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 24033803516, home to 4,886 residents in Holmehurst in Fairwood, scores 5.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 42nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

6% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,407 monthly, set against $147,538 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 7% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,609
Renter share7.1%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$147,538

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Holmehurst
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fairwood
Very High
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#193 of 214 tracts In Prince George's County
Very Low
Within state
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#1,304 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fairwood and the region

Centroid at 38.9537, -76.8175 · click any tract to drill in

Why Holmehurst scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fairwood
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,407 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fairwood
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fairwood
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fairwood
2.5

How Holmehurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Holmehurst risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 803516Fairwood: 6.16.1Fairwoodparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 38Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 5.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2012)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 240338035162011: 13 filings (7.88/100 renter HHs)2012: 14 filings (8.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 7 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 69% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Holmehurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Holmehurst

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fairwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 24033803516

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033803516?

Census tract 24033803516 in the Holmehurst neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24033803516?

Median gross rent is $2,407/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 6% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24033803516?

3.4% of residents in tract 24033803516 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,886.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24033803516?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 66th, minority 95th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 24033803516 considered part of Holmehurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033803516 fall within Holmehurst (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033803516?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033803516 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.64% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 24033803516 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 24033803516 compare to Fairwood overall?

Tract 24033803516 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Fairwood at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fairwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fairwood

Top eight tracts in Fairwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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