Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Lincoln Eviction Risk: Lower , Colmar Manor
Tract 24033804400 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 2,631 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 24033804400 covers the Fort Lincoln neighborhood of Colmar Manor in Maryland. Home to 2,631 residents, it scores 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #12,529 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,347 a month against an average household income of $94,479 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units921
Renter share24.6%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$94,479
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Colmar Manor and the region
Centroid at 38.9268, -76.9438 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Lincoln scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Colmar Manor
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,347 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Colmar Manor
1.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Colmar Manor
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Colmar Manor
2.4
How Fort Lincoln compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 78Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.5%Peak (2016)
- 34Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 143% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.3%Housing insecurity
- 11.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.4%Food insecurity
- 16.6%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 21.6%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Lincoln
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Colmar Manor, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 78 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 8.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.5% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 22.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033804400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033804400?
Census tract 24033804400 in the Fort Lincoln neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033804400?
Median gross rent is $1,347/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033804400?
7.0% of residents in tract 24033804400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,631.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033804400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 46th, minority 92th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 24033804400 considered part of Fort Lincoln?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033804400 fall within Fort Lincoln (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033804400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033804400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.07% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033804400 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033804400 compare to Colmar Manor overall?
Tract 24033804400 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Colmar Manor at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Colmar Manor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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