1 census tracts · pop 2,631 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10
· range 4.3–4.3
Fort Lincoln maps to a single census tract in Colmar Manor, MD, population 2,631. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 18.4% citywide, putting Fort Lincoln 32.3% over its own city.
At $1,347 a month, rents sit 39% under what the rest of Colmar Manor commands. 30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1/10.
Running cool is economic stress, at 1.7/10. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.9/10. 21.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 78 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 14.5% of renter households.
Judgments average 0.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 25% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
One tract means one number: 4.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fort Lincoln vs Colmar ManorHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Fort Lincoln
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
78Total filings (sum)
8.07%Avg annual filing rate
14.5%Peak year (2016)
14.53%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fort Lincoln
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.3%Housing insecurity
11.6%Utility shutoff threat
26.4%Food insecurity
16.6%SNAP enrollment
21.6%No health insurance
29.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Fort Lincoln
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Fort Lincoln?
Fort Lincoln scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Fort Lincoln compare to Colmar Manor overall?
Fort Lincoln scores 0.2 points lower than Colmar Manor overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 18% citywide. Average rent: $1,347 vs $2,222.
Q3
What is the average rent in Fort Lincoln?
Average gross rent in Fort Lincoln is $1,347/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Fort Lincoln residents are renters?
25% of Fort Lincoln households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Colmar Manor). The neighborhood has 2,631 residents.
Q5
Is Fort Lincoln a high social-vulnerability area?
Fort Lincoln sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Fort Lincoln for landlords?
Fort Lincoln carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Colmar Manor as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Fort Lincoln?
Fort Lincoln has 2,741 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (58.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
