Skip to content
Neighborhood · Colmar Manor, MD

Fort Lincoln Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,631 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.2/10 · range 2.2–2.2

Fort Lincoln is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Colmar Manor with 1 census tract and a population of 2,631 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,347/month sits 39% lower than the Colmar Manor citywide average ($2,222).

Risk score
2.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fort Lincoln vs Colmar Manor How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.7% +176%
Colmar Manor: 18.4%
Average gross rent
$1,347 -39%
Colmar Manor: $2,222
Average HH income
$94,479 -9%
Colmar Manor: $104,074
Poverty rate
7.0% +67%
Colmar Manor: 4.2%
Renter share
24.7% +11%
Colmar Manor: 22.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Lincoln and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.2–2.2

Why Fort Lincoln scores 2.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Economic stress
7.0% below poverty line · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Fort Lincoln vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fort Lincoln score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fort Lincoln: 2.22.2Fort LincolnNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fort Lincoln

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24033804400 2.2 2,631 51% $1,347
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 46%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fort Lincoln

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 78Total filings (sum)
  • 8.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.5%Peak year (2016)
  • 14.53%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fort Lincoln

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fort Lincoln

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fort Lincoln?

Fort Lincoln scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fort Lincoln compare to Colmar Manor overall?

Fort Lincoln scores 3.8 points lower than Colmar Manor overall (6/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 18% citywide. Average rent: $1,347 vs $2,222.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fort Lincoln?

Average gross rent in Fort Lincoln is $1,347/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fort Lincoln residents are renters?

25% of Fort Lincoln households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Colmar Manor). The neighborhood has 2,631 residents.
Q5

Is Fort Lincoln a high social-vulnerability area?

Fort Lincoln sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fort Lincoln for landlords?

Fort Lincoln carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Colmar Manor as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fort Lincoln?

Fort Lincoln has 2,741 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (58.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fort Lincoln

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further