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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Upper Fell's Point Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore

Tract 24510010500 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,914 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 24510010500 sits in the Upper Fell's Point area of Baltimore eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 1,914 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 28% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units868
Renter share47.7%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$112,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Upper Fell's Point
Moderate
Within parent city
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#196 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Very Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#172 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Very Low
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#766 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2889, -76.5859 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper Fell's Point scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,418 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Upper Fell's Point compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Upper Fell's Point risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0105006.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upper Fell's Point. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper Fell's Point

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10.

It sits 1.6 points below the Baltimore City average of 6.8. Cost burden runs 42% here against 50.2% across Baltimore City.

Disability prevalence runs 19.1% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $112,375, annual rent is just 15%.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,418, close to the Baltimore average.

48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510010500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510010500?

Census tract 24510010500 in the Upper Fell's Point neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510010500?

Median gross rent is $1,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510010500?

9.9% of residents in tract 24510010500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,914.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510010500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 14th, minority 46th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 24510010500 considered part of Upper Fell's Point?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510010500 fall within Upper Fell's Point (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510010500 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510010500 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510010500 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510010500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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