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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Gay Street Eviction Risk: High , Baltimore

Tract 24510070400 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,589 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 24510070400 sits in the Gay Street area of Baltimore eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 1,589. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 41% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units730
Renter share90.0%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate25.9%
Median income$29,714

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Gay Street
Very High
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#34 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3002, -76.5928 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gay Street scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
25.9% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Gay Street compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gay Street risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0704006.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gay Street. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gay Street

Set annual rent against average income of $29,714 and the ratio lands at 49%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. SNAP participation runs 32.7% against 15.2% nationally. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Housing insecurity runs 25.4% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Cost burden runs 55% here against 50.2% across Baltimore City.

At $1,202 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Baltimore commands.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510070400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510070400?

Census tract 24510070400 in the Gay Street neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510070400?

Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510070400?

25.9% of residents in tract 24510070400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,589.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510070400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 32th, minority 93th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 24510070400 considered part of Gay Street?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510070400 fall within Gay Street (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510070400 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510070400 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510070400 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510070400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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