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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Guilford Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore

Tract 24510120100 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 4,312 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up Guilford in Baltimore, census tract 24510120100 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,426 a month against an average household income of $95,208 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 31% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,278
Renter share52.2%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$95,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Guilford
Moderate
Within parent city
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#170 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Very Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#172 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Very Low
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#288 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3365, -76.6165 · click any tract to drill in

Why Guilford scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,426 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Guilford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Guilford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 120100Baltimore: 6.76.7Baltimoreparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Guilford

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510120100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510120100?

Census tract 24510120100 in the Guilford neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510120100?

Median gross rent is $1,426/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510120100?

10.7% of residents in tract 24510120100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,312.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510120100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 27th, minority 63th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 24510120100 considered part of Guilford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510120100 fall within Guilford (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510120100 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510120100 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510120100 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510120100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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