Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Old Goucher Eviction Risk: High , Baltimore
Tract 24510120600 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 2,805 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
24510120600 is a census tract in the Old Goucher area of Baltimore, MD. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,805 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,597
Renter share87.2%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate34.9%
Median income$28,376
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.3171, -76.6175 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Goucher scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
34.9% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$909 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Old Goucher compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 7%Grade B
- 82%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.9%Housing insecurity
- 16.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.2%Food insecurity
- 29.8%SNAP enrollment
- 14.9%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 19.5%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Goucher
Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $28,376, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $909 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Baltimore commands.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Baltimore City average of 6.8. Housing insecurity runs 22.9% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510120600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510120600?
Census tract 24510120600 in the Old Goucher neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510120600?
Median gross rent is $909/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510120600?
34.9% of residents in tract 24510120600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,805.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510120600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 20th, minority 71th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 24510120600 considered part of Old Goucher?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510120600 fall within Old Goucher (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510120600 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510120600 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510120600 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510120600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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