Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Union Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore
Tract 24510190200 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,821 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 24510190200 sits in the Union Square area of Baltimore eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. Population here is 1,821. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units747
Renter share50.9%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$72,953
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.2852, -76.6402 · click any tract to drill in
Why Union Square scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,298 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Union Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 90%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.9%Housing insecurity
- 12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.0%Food insecurity
- 18.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Union Square
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Average gross rent is $1,298, close to the Baltimore average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $72,953.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510190200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510190200?
Census tract 24510190200 in the Union Square neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510190200?
Median gross rent is $1,298/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510190200?
11.8% of residents in tract 24510190200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,821.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510190200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 11th, minority 80th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 24510190200 considered part of Union Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510190200 fall within Union Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510190200 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510190200 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510190200 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510190200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 90% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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