Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,157 of 84,120 nationally
Orangeville Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore
Tract 24510260404 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,556 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Here is how census tract 24510260404, in the Orangeville neighborhood of Baltimore eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.8/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,556. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,612 a month while the average household earns $48,710 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units444
Renter share71.2%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate41.5%
Median income$48,710
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.3001, -76.5529 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orangeville scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
41.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,612 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Orangeville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.0%Housing insecurity
- 21.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.2%Food insecurity
- 41.2%SNAP enrollment
- 21.4%Transit barriers
- 31.1%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 43.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orangeville
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 2% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510260404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510260404?
Census tract 24510260404 in the Orangeville neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510260404?
Median gross rent is $1,612/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510260404?
41.5% of residents in tract 24510260404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,556.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510260404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 80th, minority 71th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 24510260404 considered part of Orangeville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510260404 fall within Orangeville (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510260404 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510260404 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510260404 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510260404 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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