Orangeville Eviction Risk: High , Baltimore

SNAP participation runs 41.2% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 10/10. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Adults with no health insurance runs 31.1% against 11.3% nationally. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $48,710, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10.

71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Average gross rent is $1,612, 21% above the Baltimore average. Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Against Baltimore City at 50.2%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.