Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Port Covington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore
Tract 24510230300 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,416 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
For landlords sizing up Port Covington in Baltimore, census tract 24510230300 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,105 a month against an average household income of $104,716 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 72% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units803
Renter share71.7%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$104,716
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.2643, -76.6194 · click any tract to drill in
Why Port Covington scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$2,105 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Port Covington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 4%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.5%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 17.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Port Covington
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510230300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510230300?
Census tract 24510230300 in the Port Covington neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510230300?
Median gross rent is $2,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510230300?
12.5% of residents in tract 24510230300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,416.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510230300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 0th, minority 32th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 24510230300 considered part of Port Covington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510230300 fall within Port Covington (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510230300 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510230300 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510230300 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510230300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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