Morrell Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,004, 25% below the Baltimore average.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

SNAP participation runs 23.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 25.6% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.