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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Curtis Bay Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510250500 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 4,251 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 24510250500 covers part of the Curtis Bay area of Baltimore, MD, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,251. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 19% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,180
Renter share42.4%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$43,223

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Curtis Bay
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#75 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Elevated
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#79 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Elevated
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#184 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2176, -76.5823 · click any tract to drill in

Why Curtis Bay scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,099 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Curtis Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Curtis Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 2505006.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Curtis Bay

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Food insecurity runs 31.2% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

At $1,099 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Baltimore commands. Against Baltimore City at 50.2%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510250500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510250500?

Census tract 24510250500 in the Curtis Bay neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510250500?

Median gross rent is $1,099/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510250500?

21.8% of residents in tract 24510250500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,251.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510250500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 56th, minority 73th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 24510250500 considered part of Curtis Bay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510250500 fall within Curtis Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510250500 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510250500 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510250500 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510250500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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