Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
North Harford Road Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore
Tract 24510270703 ·
Baltimore city, MD · pop 3,321 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 24510270703 sits in the North Harford Road area of Baltimore eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 3,321. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 15%Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,388
Renter share25.4%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$102,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In North Harford Road
Moderate
Within parent city
14th percentile
#172 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Very Low
Within county
3th percentile
#193 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Very Low
Within state
48th percentile
#766 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.3687, -76.5543 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Harford Road scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,261 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How North Harford Road compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
17%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
84%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.2%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
12.9%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Harford Road
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 1.6 points below the Baltimore City average of 6.8. Against Baltimore City at 50.2%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.9/10. Against average income of $102,500, annual rent is just 15%.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,261, close to the Baltimore average.
25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510270703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510270703?
Census tract 24510270703 in the North Harford Road neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510270703?
Median gross rent is $1,261/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510270703?
3.9% of residents in tract 24510270703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,321.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510270703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 31th, minority 70th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 24510270703 considered part of North Harford Road?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510270703 fall within North Harford Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510270703 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510270703 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510270703 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510270703 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.