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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Four by Four Eviction Risk: High , Baltimore

Tract 24510080102 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,804 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 8/10, tract 24510080102 in the Four by Four area of Baltimore, MD reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,804. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 21% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units619
Renter share57.4%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate34.5%
Median income$33,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Four by Four
Moderate
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Very High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3170, -76.5759 · click any tract to drill in

Why Four by Four scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
34.5% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,363 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Four by Four compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Four by Four risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0801026.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Four by Four

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $33,906, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Housing insecurity runs 35.8% against 14.2% nationally. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Baltimore City average of 50.2%.

The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.6/10.

Disability prevalence runs 44.6% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510080102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510080102?

Census tract 24510080102 in the Four by Four neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510080102?

Median gross rent is $1,363/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510080102?

34.5% of residents in tract 24510080102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,804.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510080102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 54th, minority 96th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 24510080102 considered part of Four by Four?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510080102 fall within Four by Four (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510080102 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510080102 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510080102 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510080102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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