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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

Grove Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510280102 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 6,619 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 7.5/10 for census tract 24510280102 reflects conditions in the Grove Park neighborhood of Baltimore, Maryland. On the national scale it ranks #1,185 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

67% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $946 monthly, set against $45,322 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 14% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,318
Renter share42.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate29.3%
Median income$45,322

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grove Park
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3412, -76.7001 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grove Park scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
29.3% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$946 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Grove Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grove Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 280102Baltimore: 6.76.7Baltimoreparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grove Park

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510280102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510280102?

Census tract 24510280102 in the Grove Park neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510280102?

Median gross rent is $946/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510280102?

29.3% of residents in tract 24510280102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,619.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510280102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 92th, minority 97th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 24510280102 considered part of Grove Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510280102 fall within Grove Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510280102 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510280102 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510280102 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510280102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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